Tim Hortons Outlines Strategic Growth Catalysts and Financial Outlook at Investor Conference

2010-03-08
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  • Tim Hortons During the Tim Hortons Inc. (TSX: THI, NYSE: THI) investor conference, president and CEO Don Schroeder and other members of the executive team will outline strategic growth catalysts designed to build on Tim Hortons position as a leader in the North American restaurant industry. We will also outline our financial and operational outlook during the event.

    The Tim Hortons strategic plan targets investments and opportunities designed to leverage our core business strengths and business model to drive future growth. In addition to same-store sales growth drivers, the Company expects to open approximately 900 new locations in North America between 2010 to 2013.

    "Our strategies will continue to transform Tim Hortons, not only adding significant scale but also introducing important additional growth layers to our business platform to extend our position as a leader in the North American restaurant industry," said Don Schroeder, president and CEO. "We are a growth company with significant long-term opportunities in Canada, and we are also excited by the prospects of continued profitable growth in the U.S., and potentially internationally in the longer term," added Schroeder.

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    Growth catalysts and initiatives that will be outlined at the investor conference include:

        -   The Company plans to open approximately 900 locations in North
    America between 2010 to 2013. The development in Canada of
    approximately 600 new restaurants is focused on growth markets
    including Québec, western Canada and major urban locations, in
    addition to continuing to build out Ontario. In the U.S, our
    development of approximately 300 new restaurants will be focused
    primarily on existing major regional markets, such as New York, Ohio,
    and Michigan. We also plan to push into contiguous markets, with
    approximately 30% of the development activities planned to take place
    between 2010 to 2013 in markets adjacent to our existing footprint.

    - The Company plans to introduce new menu and product innovation
    targeted across restaurant dayparts to meet our customers' needs,
    expand our market share, and drive same-store sales. The Company is
    targeting further expansion of the breakfast daypart, and afternoon
    and evening snacking dayparts, in addition to extending lunch daypart
    opportunities, including our sandwich and soup offering. The Company
    also intends to expand its hot and cold beverage offerings.

    - In the U.S., Tim Hortons is focused on becoming famous as a cafe and
    bake shop destination. We plan to significantly differentiate the
    brand through a new concept restaurant design that will be piloted in
    at least 10 existing locations. The new restaurant concept features a
    dramatic reimaging to more sharply define our cafe and bake shop
    positioning, including enhanced finishes, fixtures and seating areas
    as well as experiential changes. In addition, the Company will be
    testing new product offerings and adopting innovative new marketing
    and branding initiatives aligned to our cafe and bake shop brand
    positioning.

    - We intend to complement our standard restaurant development activity
    in both Canada and the U.S. with non-standard formats and locations,
    extending our reach in hospitals, universities and colleges, airports
    and other non-traditional sites, leveraging our "we fit anywhere"
    philosophy and capability. Our non-standard development is included
    in the development targets outlined above.

    - We intend to opportunistically pursue strategic alliances to take our
    brand to markets where we have not yet established a presence, to
    complement our existing presence, or to increase average unit volumes
    in existing locations. This may include co-branding or other
    initiatives.

    - Tim Hortons plans to extend its co-branding initiative with Cold
    Stone Creamery(C). The Company secured exclusive development rights
    in Canada with Cold Stone Creamery in 2009, and together with our
    franchisees we plan to convert up to 60 locations in Canada in 2010
    to include the Cold Stone Creamery concept. In the U.S., we plan
    to co-brand between 15 to 20 existing locations and open between 10
    to 15 new restaurants as co-branded locations in 2010.

    - The Company is targeting smaller communities in Canada as part of its
    overall development strategy. Standard restaurants are the primary
    focus in smaller communities, but we will also test a new, flexible
    restaurant design as well.

    - The Company's service competitive advantage, demonstrated
    consistently by third party research, will be extended through a new
    Canadian hospitality strategy which will be developed in
    collaboration with the Disney Institute.

    - We will pilot a new restaurant format in Canada in one location
    designed to increase capacity and throughput while maintaining the
    customer experience.

    - The Company will also provide an update during its investor
    conference on our international strategy development process and
    perspectives.

    As one of the most franchised systems in the North American restaurant industry, we also plan to continue to focus on the relationships we have with our franchisees and the success of our system. We also seek to leverage our strengths and capabilities to grow our business. Several initiatives support this focus in 2010, including:

        -   continuing to work collaboratively with our franchisees across a
    wide-range of initiatives and business matters;

    - growing Canadian franchised restaurant sales to more than
    $5 billion;(1)

    - assessing additional vertical integration and supply chain
    opportunities to create value for our franchisees and shareholders;
    and

    - selectively reviewing acquisition opportunities that leverage our
    core strengths and capabilities.

    Performance and Financial Outlook (See Notes below)

    In support of the initiatives outlined above for 2010, the Company has established the following objectives:

        -   EPS: $1.95 to $2.05;

    - Operating income growth: 8% to 10% (52-week basis);(2)

    - Same-store sales growth: 3% to 5% in Canada and 2% to 4% in the U.S.;

    - Tax rate: approximately 32%;

    - Capital expenditures: $180 million to $200 million.

    Beyond 2010, Management has established an aspirational goal of 12% to 15% earnings per share (EPS) growth on a compound annual average growth rate basis for the duration of the strategic plan period from 2011 to 2013, and expects to open approximately 900 new locations in North America, with approximately 600 expected in Canada and approximately 300 expected in the U.S.

        Notes:
    ------
    (1) Canadian franchised restaurant sales are restaurant-level sales at
    franchised restaurants in Canada, which are reported to us by our
    franchisees. These franchised restaurant sales are not included in
    our Consolidated Financial Statements, except for certain non-owned
    restaurants whose results are consolidated with ours as required
    under applicable accounting requirements. See Note 1 to the
    Consolidated Financial Statements in the Company's 2009 Annual Report
    on Form 10-K, filed March 4, 2010 ("Annual Report"). Franchise
    restaurant sales do, however, result in royalties and rental income,
    which we include in our franchise revenues, as well as distribution
    income. Franchised restaurant sales for fiscal years 2009 and 2008
    for Canada and the U.S. are set forth on page 43 of the Annual
    Report.

    (2) Operating income year-over-year growth rate for 2010 is based on
    52 weeks to remove the benefit from 2009 of approximately 1.5%
    associated with 53 weeks of operations in 2009.

    (3) The operational objectives, financial outlook, and aspirational goals
    (collectively, "targets") established for 2010 and long-term EPS
    growth are based on the accounting, tax, and other legislative rules
    in place at the time the targets were issued and on the continuation
    of share repurchase programs relatively consistent with historical
    levels. The impact of future changes in accounting, tax and/or other
    legislative rules that may or may not become effective in fiscal 2010
    and future years, changes to our share repurchase activities, and
    other matters not contemplated at the time the targets were
    established that could affect our business, are not included in the
    determination of these targets. In addition, the targets are forward-
    looking and are based on our expectations and outlook on, and shall
    be effective only as of, the date the targets were originally issued.
    Except as required by applicable securities laws, we do not intend to
    update these targets. You should refer to the Company's public
    filings for any reported updates. These targets and our performance
    generally are subject to various risks and uncertainties and are
    based on certain underlying assumptions, set forth in Item 1A of the
    Company's Annual Report, which may impact future performance and
    our achievement of these targets.


    Logos, product and company names mentioned are the property of their respective owners.

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